Interview Questions › Guesstimate

Estimate annual shipping container movement globally in TEUs

Estimate the total annual container port throughput movement (in Twenty-Foot Equivalent Units - TEUs) handled across all global maritime container ports in a year.

Context

Maritime shipping carries ~90% of global manufactured trade, measured in standard 20-foot (1 TEU) and 40-foot (2 TEU) steel shipping containers.

Clarifying questions to ask first

How to approach it

  1. Top-down by Major Trade Lanes: Transpacific (Asia-US), Asia-Europe, Intra-Asia, Transatlantic, and North-South Trade
  2. Port Handling Throughput vs Physical Container Fleet: Differentiate physical shipping containers in existence (~30M TEUs) from Total Port Moves / Throughput (~850M TEU port lifts/year)
  3. Account for Transshipment Hubs (containers handled multiple times at hub ports like Shanghai, Singapore, Rotterdam, Dubai)
  4. Synthesize global container port throughput TEU volume

Framework: Global Port Throughput (TEUs) = Physical Loaded TEUs Moved × Average Port Handlings per Journey (Transshipment Factor)

Sample answer

  1. 850 Million TEUs handled annually across ~500 commercial container ports globally

Executive estimate: ~830 to 860 Million TEUs handled annually at global container ports (originating from ~180M physical loaded container shipments).

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